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2022 Tracking Spreadsheet

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Old Nov 5, 2021 | 09:45 AM
  #2251  
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Looks like another delay.
Ordered 8/14
Prod Date 10/25, 11/9, now 11/24. I'm thinking this will get pushed again.

Edit: Ford site just updated to “ln Production”. Seems like a good sign. 😁
 

Last edited by Mrob; Nov 12, 2021 at 11:53 AM. Reason: Update
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Old Nov 5, 2021 | 10:10 AM
  #2252  
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Originally Posted by Thatguy509




What I do not find promising.......is that no trucks have been STP since Monday. Looks like those with a 11/8 build week will likely get rescheduled between now and Monday. Myself included!!!!!
I'm surprised you didn't get an email??? might want to check your spam folder! i got my email Sunday night that my 11/8 build got pushed to 11/15. Hopefully that date actually happens because i cant imagine many trucks will get built the week of the 22nd due to the holiday.
 
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Old Nov 5, 2021 | 03:22 PM
  #2253  
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So I thought I would do a little graphing today to satisfy my curiosity about the length of time it is taking trucks to be delivered from their order date. First a few caveats - I eliminated all trucks ordered prior to July 1 just because it was physically impossible for those to be produced before the line started producing 2022 models and the length of time some were on the list, some upwards of four months, just artificially skews the data to the long side. I used the data from the spreadsheet from Nov 4 and used the 436 entries on the Delivered - Sorted by Order tab. The Delivered tab had more trucks on it but that tab was corrupt somehow and kept closing the spreadsheet every time I tried to make an entry (I downloaded the Google sheet and converted it to Excel so I had editor rights).


The graph represents the number of days from Order to Delivery across the X axis and the probability of being delivered for any given length of time on the Y axis. This is a typical bell curve that represents three standard deviations. The average is 67 days, one standard deviation (SD) is 50 to 84 days, two SD is 33 to 101 days, and 3 SD is 16 to 118 days. The usual percentages apply with 1 SD = 68% chance of falling in that range, 2 SD = 95% chance, and 3 SD = 99.7%. There were no trucks delivered in less than 33 days and the longest wait for delivery as of yesterday was 106 days for a post July 1 ordered truck.

The main conclusion from the graph is that the vast majority of trucks ordered on or after July 1 are being delivered within about 100 days. Considering the material and worker shortages as well as the other issues with transportation, I'd say 100 days isn't too horrible. Of course that's no consolation for those whose trucks are still sitting in the queue. Obviously this is not a static graph and it will be continuously moving as delays occur and production speeds up and slows down but it should give us a basic idea. I know there are many on the spreadsheet who ordered in July (and before) that haven't even been sent to the plant yet and so those folks will easily exceed the 3 SD range of 118 days. I personally am at 99 days today and know that I probably have at least another 30 days to go IF my current scheduled build week doesn't change again. YMMV
 
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Old Nov 6, 2021 | 07:10 PM
  #2254  
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Originally Posted by Lariat Driver
So I thought I would do a little graphing today to satisfy my curiosity about the length of time it is taking trucks to be delivered from their order date. First a few caveats - I eliminated all trucks ordered prior to July 1 just because it was physically impossible for those to be produced before the line started producing 2022 models and the length of time some were on the list, some upwards of four months, just artificially skews the data to the long side. I used the data from the spreadsheet from Nov 4 and used the 436 entries on the Delivered - Sorted by Order tab. The Delivered tab had more trucks on it but that tab was corrupt somehow and kept closing the spreadsheet every time I tried to make an entry (I downloaded the Google sheet and converted it to Excel so I had editor rights).


The graph represents the number of days from Order to Delivery across the X axis and the probability of being delivered for any given length of time on the Y axis. This is a typical bell curve that represents three standard deviations. The average is 67 days, one standard deviation (SD) is 50 to 84 days, two SD is 33 to 101 days, and 3 SD is 16 to 118 days. The usual percentages apply with 1 SD = 68% chance of falling in that range, 2 SD = 95% chance, and 3 SD = 99.7%. There were no trucks delivered in less than 33 days and the longest wait for delivery as of yesterday was 106 days for a post July 1 ordered truck.

The main conclusion from the graph is that the vast majority of trucks ordered on or after July 1 are being delivered within about 100 days. Considering the material and worker shortages as well as the other issues with transportation, I'd say 100 days isn't too horrible. Of course that's no consolation for those whose trucks are still sitting in the queue. Obviously this is not a static graph and it will be continuously moving as delays occur and production speeds up and slows down but it should give us a basic idea. I know there are many on the spreadsheet who ordered in July (and before) that haven't even been sent to the plant yet and so those folks will easily exceed the 3 SD range of 118 days. I personally am at 99 days today and know that I probably have at least another 30 days to go IF my current scheduled build week doesn't change again. YMMV
Did you include trucks on the unscheduled spreadsheet?
 
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Old Nov 6, 2021 | 07:52 PM
  #2255  
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Duplicate post. Please ignore.
 

Last edited by Socalwingnut; Nov 7, 2021 at 05:58 AM. Reason: Duplicate
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Old Nov 6, 2021 | 08:24 PM
  #2256  
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Originally Posted by gsxr1216
I'm surprised you didn't get an email??? might want to check your spam folder! i got my email Sunday night that my 11/8 build got pushed to 11/15. Hopefully that date actually happens because i cant imagine many trucks will get built the week of the 22nd due to the holiday.
Mine was scheduled for 10/25 then a week later rescheduled for 11/1. Nothing was sent to production this week and rumor has it that the plant was down last week (edit: next time I’ll read the entire thread). So far no emails (yes, I checked my spam folder). Hopefully I will get an email on Sunday telling me it’s backed up another week or two. I ordered from Granger and I live in Southern California so it looks like I’ll be doing some cold weather driving in December or January!

 
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Old Nov 6, 2021 | 08:31 PM
  #2257  
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[QUOTE=Buckstop;20133440]When I ordered my 2nd truck on 10/13 code 10 i received my vin and build week as 11/8 the next day. I received notice sunday that I have been moved to 11/15. I knew that first build week was too good to be true. I hope I dont go through what some of you have. Mine is a simple build, xlt screw nothing special in options rw liners,bed mat, premium chrome pkg.

I ordered my F-350 XLT on 9/29. Confirmation 9/30. 15 minutes later Build week of 10/25. One week later build week moved back to 11/1. Since then, nothing. Mine is pretty simple, too. Premium pkg. 7.3 engine, 4.30 rear end, drop in bed liner, FX-4, console. Maybe it’s the console?
 

Last edited by Socalwingnut; Nov 6, 2021 at 08:33 PM. Reason: Quote fix
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Old Nov 6, 2021 | 08:59 PM
  #2258  
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It is weird you were in that little group of lariats (and one platinum) that didn't get sent to the plant. Coulda been consoles but I have a feeling you're just unlucky
 
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Old Nov 7, 2021 | 07:11 AM
  #2259  
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Originally Posted by PetrolPiglet
It is weird you were in that little group of lariats (and one platinum) that didn't get sent to the plant. Coulda been consoles but I have a feeling you're just unlucky
Mine was an XLT with no console and mine didnt get sent to the plant either out of that batch. We both ordered from the same dealer and mine was ordered before yours, but mine got bumped off the schedule for the week! The way they pick and choose what gets made doesn't make a whole lot of sense.
 
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Old Nov 7, 2021 | 08:52 AM
  #2260  
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Originally Posted by gsxr1216
Mine was an XLT with no console and mine didnt get sent to the plant either out of that batch. We both ordered from the same dealer and mine was ordered before yours, but mine got bumped off the schedule for the week! The way they pick and choose what gets made doesn't make a whole lot of sense.
Well I hope it makes sense to someone. When I ordered mine it was with the understanding that it could take 4-6 months according to Zach from Granger. I figure any time before February is early. However, seeing that October 25 build week at first did get my hopes up!
 
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Old Nov 7, 2021 | 09:19 AM
  #2261  
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F350

Originally Posted by Socalwingnut
Well I hope it makes sense to someone. When I ordered mine it was with the understanding that it could take 4-6 months according to Zach from Granger. I figure any time before February is early. However, seeing that October 25 build week at first did get my hopes up!
Im in the same “Boat”. I ordered in August. I hope I hear something concrete by the end of December. Have decided to keep every option I ordered because every box I checked I want. I know when it does arrive it will be my Dream Truck!! But waiting truly sux,,,
 
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Old Nov 7, 2021 | 02:19 PM
  #2262  
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@Phoenixfla , I’ve been on the spreadsheet for several days. I can see all the details in the raw data on the Mach-E tracker, but I’m still not seeing any of that on the spreadsheet. Is there any way to verify that I entered the right VIN?
 
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Old Nov 7, 2021 | 02:40 PM
  #2263  
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Originally Posted by Hookem59
@Phoenixfla , I’ve been on the spreadsheet for several days. I can see all the details in the raw data on the Mach-E tracker, but I’m still not seeing any of that on the spreadsheet. Is there any way to verify that I entered the right VIN?
I agree something is incorrect. Please PM me your VIN and Order Number and I'll verify.
 
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Old Nov 7, 2021 | 03:23 PM
  #2264  
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Originally Posted by Phoenixfla
I agree something is incorrect. Please PM me your VIN and Order Number and I'll verify.
I appreciate that! I need to add a few more posts here before I get the ability to send PMs, so I sent the info on the Tremor forum. I hope I got the right person!
 
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Old Nov 7, 2021 | 04:00 PM
  #2265  
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Originally Posted by Hookem59
I appreciate that! I need to add a few more posts here before I get the ability to send PMs, so I sent the info on the Tremor forum. I hope I got the right person!
LOL, I did not get the right person over there, so I’ll keep working on my post count!
 
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