I stopped by a local dealership to order a new 2015 but the information was shared no more 2015's now ordering 2016's. Will rebates increase from current rebates on 2015's or will they stay the same and not offer rebates on 2016's until 2015 inventory is depleted. I'm would like to make a decision in two weeks however if they may increase I may hold out although selection will be depleting. I currently have a 2011 (built 5/2010) with 23000 miles but warranty on drivetrain is coming to an end. Dealer sounded like he could offer more now versus after the warranty has expired explaining if there's any issues it will be fords responsibility. Dealer stated he will sell new truck for invoice although not currently sure on value of my trade. I have calculated on several websites determining approximately what its value is.

 

Nothing wrong with a 2015 at the right price !

2016.......the last of the 2011 - 2016 run......that is nice too......

 

Predicting future rebates is like trying to predict spring time weather in Texas. A crap shoot at best.

Dealers don't even know what the new rebates are going to be in advance, they find out at the same time it happens.

Ford also likes to play games when it comes to rebates, which can hurt some buyers and bite them in the butt as being penalized for things outside of their control. Example would be, Ford offers $4500 retail purchase rebate, a $1500 rebate if you finance through Ford Motor Credit that would be good until the first of the next month.

So now the next month rolls around and you waited for a better rebate or incentive to purchase your new truck. Only now the rebates are $3500 retail purchase, $1250 FMC finance incentive, and now a $1250 trade assistance incentive. The total of the rebates add up to the same as last months rebates........Unless you are not trading in a vehicle. That being the case you just lost out of $1250 savings by waiting.

The are also pretty good at slipping in an extra rebate for a certain model that does not apply straight across the board. Such as it may only apply to a Superduty that is an XLT with a certain option package installed.

So at this point the only advise I could offer you is the old saying of a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush. Since the 2016 is not going to be any real differences between the 2015 I would say shop now and if you find a great deal go ahead and buy. Keeping in my that Murphy's Law dictates that once you do buy the deals will get better.

Also a thing about rebates is that they do very by region of the country. However it doesn't matter where you buy it is the current rebates offered where you are registering the vehicle at your home address that will be offered.

 

Wow, you need to get out and drive more..... JK
Heck, my 2015 is only 6 months old and it has about half what your current truck has. I also traded up from a 2012.
If you can find a truck on the lot to your liking, then going with a 2015 now would give the best incentives. For a 2016 you might have to wait till the fall to get the incentives back up to where they are on the 15s.
Best of luck in your decision.
pat

 

As others have said it's a gamble. I was going to purchase mine back in Jan when the rebates were 5k, however I waited till last week and now the rebates are 4,500k. No worries here I saved the $500 lost in payments/interest in 3 months.

With the 16's coming the rebates on them will probably be around 1k starting out. Something to think about is when the new 17's start rolling out you could get a heck of a deal on a 16 if there is any left in stock. Dealers will load up on 16's since the plants will have some down time retooling for the new 17's. That being said they may not put a lot of rebates on 16's in fear of running out of inventory before they get any decent inventory levels on 17's.

Another thing to consider is the 17's will take a huge price increase going to Aluminum and the advanced electronics, just like the new F150's.

 

Not only the rebates. But price increases. All 2015s ordered after March 1st jumbed about $700. The 2016 will also have a price increase

Your best price may be a dealer inventory 15 truck ordered prior to the March price increase

 

Do you feel you got a good price as there seems to be so much secrecy on pricing. I located a web site that supposedly gives factory prices but the dealer also receives volume rebates and other discounts from the factory. If I walked in to a dealership and paid the MSRP do you think the salesperson would accept it or say whoa you are paying too much. There seems to be a lot of distrust between dealerships and retail customers. I fully realize they have to make a profit but why the game . . how much more can I get from this unsuspecting retail uniformed customer. I would never buy in my local city because word on the street is the dealerships here gouge and exploit customers. If only dealers knew this they would never have to advertise there dealerships . . . just be transparent and honest and there sales would soar
Final Comment
What do you do to ensure you are getting a fair price

 

IMHO, If you can match x-plan pricing you got a fair deal. At times I have done better than x-plan pricing. x-plan pricing the last time I looked was invoice + $50 + $75 MAX DOC/Dealer prep fee. Of course taxes and title fees are what they are depending on your state.

carsdirect, truecar, and edmonds are good free to access places to look for invoice prices. Will they match, sometimes, not always. Will it give you a good ballpark - yes.

Obviously after you negotiate the price, then you subtract all the rebates. I bought my 2015 last summer and I got $10k off sticker including all the rebates and after all the 'fees' where added back in. (Tag, $15 in sales tax, and $200 Dealer DOC fee) I would be able to do better today though as the rebates on the '15s then were not great. If you are a member of Costco they can give you pricing as well. If you are member of AQHA, NAPO, or Military there is usually $500 more available. Anyone can join AQHA but you gotta wait 30 days to get the rebate.

Of course there are people that somehow negotiate $2k lower than invoice (there is a large hold back on these trucks so invoice price is misleading) - but good luck getting into that money on a vehicle that is selling or if you are in an area where trucks are hard to get. (Like where I am now in Alaska)

Ohh - Check with online sites for the cost of the extended warranty and maintenance plans if you want to do those. Flood Ford comes to mind as one - they are usually 50% of what the dealer will want to charge you for it. Your dealer may match them if you ask. Unless you are in a insurance regulated state like Florida you will do better online.