Notices
2017 - 2022 Super Duty The 2017-2022 Ford F250, F350, F450, F550 & F600 Super Duty Pickup and Chassis Cab
Sponsored by:
Sponsored by: CARiD

Trying Before Big Spend - Is My Logic Worth a @%4#?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 03:38 PM
  #1  
sgnden's Avatar
sgnden
Thread Starter
|
Senior User
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 123
Likes: 0
From: The Front Range of CO
Trying Before Big Spend - Is My Logic Worth a @%4#?

Concern: Jump-in and buy a 2021 3/4T Diesel truck loaded-up to the tune of $83K MSRP and hope to buy at ~8%-11% off MSRP and find that it's too much hassle for the around town use until next early Spring when I'll be outfitting for long distance overland trips as well as long distance slab time. Then, if I don't really like it, I've got a BIG ticket truck that I'd no-way be able to sell or trade without a huge hit.

Idea: Buy a 2018 and essentially test whether or not I like living with it. Understanding fully that the '20+ improvements deliver a different experience but my hope would be that I'd have a great truck that I can make my "test" truck. One KEY consideration is that buying and selling/trading a 2018 within one year means being able to get close to what I paid. Making it a low(er) risk proposition.

The "safe" thing is to wait for 2021 1/2T trucks and be one of the zillions of F150s on the road. But, it'd be roughly the same money as a 2018 or 2019 F250 when it's outfitted as I would. Yes, they'll probably run me out of town in my neighborhood with a large Diesel truck parked on the street. Yes, it is major overkill as I won't be towing heavy for at least 2 years but carrying a fairly heavy pop-up camper and towing a bike or two in the Spring. But I like the idea of the 1,000 mile road trips in this and will soon convert one of these into a real overland machine (no illusions about trail-running stuff with this big a truck).

So, unless a 2018 is for some reason going to give me problems, It would be almost a "try before ya buy" scenario where the big ticket rig is concerned.

Ya think I'm slightly analytical? I give myself a flippin headache. Sheesh. Maybe I'll just ride my motorcycles and call it a day...
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 03:46 PM
  #2  
INTP's Avatar
INTP
Freshman User
Joined: Aug 2018
Posts: 37
Likes: 1
Truck

Buy once, cry once
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 03:53 PM
  #3  
sgnden's Avatar
sgnden
Thread Starter
|
Senior User
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 123
Likes: 0
From: The Front Range of CO
Originally Posted by INTP
Buy once, cry once
Ha! Good reminder...

Maybe I'm being silly thinking you can actually hedge a bet with any late model truck. It's a crazy market. The diff between 2020 and 2021 are not enough to grab one and many 2019 are not even far-off and they're of course pre-driveline refresh.

Thanks. Not sure I'll do it, but I do appreciate it.

 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 03:57 PM
  #4  
ford390gashog's Avatar
ford390gashog
Fleet Owner
20 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 26,007
Likes: 575
From: Brentwood,CA
Club FTE Gold Member
Well around here 2018 trucks are going for their original MSRP. There is no deals to be had. Just buy the truck if you really need it.
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 04:03 PM
  #5  
sgnden's Avatar
sgnden
Thread Starter
|
Senior User
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 123
Likes: 0
From: The Front Range of CO
Originally Posted by ford390gashog
Well around here 2018 trucks are going for their original MSRP. There is no deals to be had. Just buy the truck if you really need it.
Good point. I certainly don't 'need' the truck now. I can drive another vehicle for as long as I need/want to. Just don't love the idea of driving my vehicle that's appreciating. I'd rather keep it under the cover. It's getting a bit cold for the motorcycles as well.

Heck, if I'm so worried about "fit" maybe I can find one to rent for a month...
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 04:56 PM
  #6  
ford390gashog's Avatar
ford390gashog
Fleet Owner
20 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 26,007
Likes: 575
From: Brentwood,CA
Club FTE Gold Member
If you want to rent you can rent these trucks from Enterprise and Herc easily. You need to rent from the truck rental not the consumer car rental locations.
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 05:13 PM
  #7  
sgnden's Avatar
sgnden
Thread Starter
|
Senior User
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 123
Likes: 0
From: The Front Range of CO
Originally Posted by ford390gashog
If you want to rent you can rent these trucks from Enterprise and Herc easily. You need to rent from the truck rental not the consumer car rental locations.
Roger that.
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 05:24 PM
  #8  
Joe T's Avatar
Joe T
Hotshot
5 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 10,136
Likes: 1,360
From: Chaz
As mentioned its better to order. Better value there
 
Reply
FTE Stories

Ford Trucks for Ford Truck Enthusiasts

story-0

Ford's 2001 Explorer Sportsman Concept Looks For a New Home

 Verdad Gallardo
story-1

10 Best Ford Truck Engines We Miss the Most!

 Joe Kucinski
story-2

2026 Shelby F-150 Off-Road: Better Than a Raptor R?

 Brett Foote
story-3

2027 Super Duty Carhartt Package First Look: 12 Things You NEED to Know!

 Michael S. Palmer
story-4

10 Most Surprising 2026 Ford Truck Features!

 Joe Kucinski
story-5

Top 10 Ford Trucks Coming to Mecum Indy 2026

 Brett Foote
story-6

5 Best / 5 Worst Ford Truck Wheels of All Time

 Joe Kucinski
story-7

Ford Super Duty: 5 Things Owners LOVE, 5 Things They LOATHE!

 Joe Kucinski
story-8

Every 2026 Ford Truck Engine RANKED from WORST to FIRST!

 Michael S. Palmer
story-9

The Best F-150 Deal of Every Trim Level (XL through Raptor)

 Joe Kucinski
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 06:44 PM
  #9  
BillyE's Avatar
BillyE
Fleet Mechanic
5 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
Joined: Feb 2018
Posts: 1,592
Likes: 204
You’re not going to be able to buy a 2018, drive it for a year, and sell it for what you paid. That’sa horrible assumption. If that was possible, we’d all do that.
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 07:01 PM
  #10  
MDK993's Avatar
MDK993
Tuned
5 Year Member
Photogenic
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 336
Likes: 5
In my market the 18s are going for close to new which is definitely not normal. Usually I would say buy the 18 but right now the better deals are on the 20s. Before spending the money go rent a F250 or similar truck and drive it for a week then decide.
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 07:07 PM
  #11  
sgnden's Avatar
sgnden
Thread Starter
|
Senior User
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 123
Likes: 0
From: The Front Range of CO
Originally Posted by BillyE
You’re not going to be able to buy a 2018, drive it for a year, and sell it for what you paid. That’sa horrible assumption. If that was possible, we’d all do that.
So, that's a "Yes, your logic is flawed"? ;^)

My HOPE (wishful thinking, yes) was stated as "...buying and selling/trading a 2018 within one year means being able to get close to what I paid." Of course, two HUGE variables there. What I paid and what the market's like. The operative phrase was "CLOSE" to what I paid. I know that I bought a 2020 GMC Sierra in April this year and sold it for $1200 more than I paid in October...but I think all bets are off in this crazy Covid time.

Signed, Horrible Assumer <grin>
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 07:14 PM
  #12  
sgnden's Avatar
sgnden
Thread Starter
|
Senior User
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 123
Likes: 0
From: The Front Range of CO
Originally Posted by MDK993
In my market the 18s are going for close to new which is definitely not normal. Usually I would say buy the 18 but right now the better deals are on the 20s. Before spending the money go rent a F250 or similar truck and drive it for a week then decide.
Thanks! Yeah, I think that's the right thing to do. In fact, the guy I've tried to run a deal with is the Fleet manager at a Ford store so I'll ring him on the outside chance he has something sitting around he'd let me borrow for a few days.

I tried speaking with Enterprise about how to get a 3/4T or 1T Ford and they were completely lost and unhelpful. I then called Hertz....rang and rang and rang then on hold until I bailed.

I think I'll stop being an overly analytical PITA and just buy one...I know what the drive like, so it's not going to change much to drive it around for a week. There are some well equipped 2020's in my market but they're not giving any better deal than one one I can order today.
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 07:25 PM
  #13  
Keith Griffin's Avatar
Keith Griffin
Tuned
5 Year Member
Photogenic
Liked
Community Favorite
Joined: Sep 2020
Posts: 267
Likes: 79
From: San Antonio
Club FTE Gold Member
I owned a 2016 F-150 since new (Dec 2016) and thought that was going to be my last truck. I was involved in a wreck (my fault) and wound up having to have the frame completely replaced. The dealer I bought it from low-balled me on trade in after it was fixed (would only offer "auction" value on it) and I laughed as I walked out the door. A year later, the same dealer came up to me and offered me $3k over their initial offer. I still laughed as they were seriously low-balling me. I waited and then saw some of the guys on the F-150 forum talking about Carvana offering some good trade-in values and other places as well. I clicked on a link for "Instant Cash Offer" on a truck trader page and within 30 minutes, had a call from a local dealer. They wanted me to bring my truck in that evening to look it over and give me an offer. Thinking I was going to be low-balled again, I jumped at the chance to laugh at them as I walked out the door. Well, the surprise was on me. They offered me $13,500 over what I owed on it, even with the frame being replaced. I told them I wanted to think about it and went home and started looking. My girlfriend and I ride a Goldwing and sometimes we just want to drive to a destination and then ride around instead of riding 3 or 4 days to get there and being worn out from the ride. Hence we bought a 7'x12' enclosed trailer that we could also use as a camper if we wanted. Well, after a couple of trips in the F-150 (with a Coyote motor, mind you) I decided I didn't want to strain it too much. Plus we also had talked about possibly buying a toy hauler in the next year or two. Well, with the new offer for my F-150, I decided to look at F-250's. I found a 2017 F-250 with a 6.7 liter in it, 2 1/2" Ready Lift leveling kit, all the options I wanted short of the Adaptive Cruise Control, but it also had a spray in bed liner, 35" tires and Fuel wheels. After driving it, i worked a deal with the dealer to buy the truck and they took my '16 in as trade. I probably paid a little more than I should have for the truck, but for it to come equipped like it did, I thought that it would save me money in the long run. I've been driving it for 2 months now and I'm loving it. I've pulled the trailer with it a couple of times with the bike in it (about 2600 lbs total weight) and it doesn't even feel like it's there.

All of this to say, I bought now so that I could have the experience of driving a 250 or larger before deciding to buy the toy hauler to see how I liked it. Fuel mileage is not a big concern with the price of diesel so cheap around me, and the truck is fantastic to drive. If it turns out that I decide I don't want to buy a toy hauler or 5er, then I can sell the truck and buy something else. If you're gonna jump, jump in safely. Make sure the bottom is clear and you're ready for the added expense of owning a diesel. Filters are more expensive, requires more oil in oil changes, fuel filters need to be changed more often and this all costs more money. I have a year plus to decide, so I'm going to enjoy the luxury of this truck till then and enjoy pulling my trailer and bike wherever I want to go. Good luck on your decision!!! And keep us informed!! Inquiring minds want to know.
 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 07:45 PM
  #14  
Section179's Avatar
Section179
Fleet Mechanic
Joined: Apr 2018
Posts: 1,502
Likes: 165
a modern crew cab is not an unappealing daily driver. It’s not like a single cab with no room for people and it’s not like some weird leper specialty thing. Unless you’re concerned about garage heights, fuel, or using mirrors like a man (or a 360 camera like me) I see no possible downside to a super duty over any other vehicle.

just do it. Cognitive dissonance will do the rest.

 
Reply
Old Nov 4, 2020 | 07:58 PM
  #15  
sgnden's Avatar
sgnden
Thread Starter
|
Senior User
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 123
Likes: 0
From: The Front Range of CO
Originally Posted by Keith Griffin
I owned a 2016 F-150 since new (Dec 2016)...All of this to say, I bought now so that I could have the experience of driving a 250 or larger before deciding to buy the toy hauler to see how I liked it. Fuel mileage is not a big concern with the price of diesel so cheap around me, and the truck is fantastic to drive. If it turns out that I decide I don't want to buy a toy hauler or 5er, then I can sell the truck and buy something else. If you're gonna jump, jump in safely. Make sure the bottom is clear and you're ready for the added expense of owning a diesel. Filters are more expensive, requires more oil in oil changes, fuel filters need to be changed more often and this all costs more money. I have a year plus to decide, so I'm going to enjoy the luxury of this truck till then and enjoy pulling my trailer and bike wherever I want to go. Good luck on your decision!!! And keep us informed!! Inquiring minds want to know.
Nice, Keith. Your story sounds similar to where I'd be if I bought an F150 (snore)...minus the crash. That-is, I'd definitely be towing either my '16 Road Glide Ultra and/or '20 BMW R1250 Adventure just to get closer to a riding destination vs sitting in the saddle for 6-8 hours of slab where you're hoping for some heavy crosswind or rain just to break-up the monotony...ha. I'm getting too old and fat for that, sadly. Though I did do a little 30mph get-off on the Adventure bike last week in the dirt. Fun w/ nothing broken. Anyway, the 3/4 ton idea was really all-about having the flexibility...whether needing to transport a 2,500 pound+ piece of chocolate manufacturing equipment, putting a low-profile modern pop-up and towing a bike, or just putting the 900+ LB bike in the back and heading out into no-mans land. I have other vehicles to go to the flippin hardware store, after all.

Great outcome with your bent 150, man!
 
Reply



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:38 PM.

story-0
Ford's 2001 Explorer Sportsman Concept Looks For a New Home

Slideshow: Ford's bizarre fishing-themed Explorer concept has resurfaced after spending decades largely forgotten.

By Verdad Gallardo | 2026-05-12 18:07:46


VIEW MORE
story-1
10 Best Ford Truck Engines We Miss the Most!

Slideshow: The 10 best Ford truck engines we miss the most.

By Joe Kucinski | 2026-05-12 13:09:47


VIEW MORE
story-2
2026 Shelby F-150 Off-Road: Better Than a Raptor R?

Slideshow: first look at the 810 hp 2026 Shelby F-150 Off-Road!

By Brett Foote | 2026-05-12 12:50:07


VIEW MORE
story-3
2027 Super Duty Carhartt Package First Look: 12 Things You NEED to Know!

Slideshow: Everything You Need to Know about the 2027 Super Duty Carhartt Package!

By Michael S. Palmer | 2026-05-07 17:51:06


VIEW MORE
story-4
10 Most Surprising 2026 Ford Truck Features!

Slideshow: 10 most surprising Ford truck options/features in 2026.

By Joe Kucinski | 2026-05-05 11:17:22


VIEW MORE
story-5
Top 10 Ford Trucks Coming to Mecum Indy 2026

Slideshow: Here are the top 10 Fords coming to Mecum Indy 2026.

By Brett Foote | 2026-05-04 13:49:49


VIEW MORE
story-6
5 Best / 5 Worst Ford Truck Wheels of All Time

Slideshow: The 5 best and 5 worst Ford truck wheels of all time

By Joe Kucinski | 2026-04-29 16:49:01


VIEW MORE
story-7
Ford Super Duty: 5 Things Owners LOVE, 5 Things They LOATHE!

Slideshow: Ranking the 5 things owners love about their Super Duty and 5 things they don't

By Joe Kucinski | 2026-04-29 16:36:49


VIEW MORE
story-8
Every 2026 Ford Truck Engine RANKED from WORST to FIRST!

Slideshow: Ranking all 12 Ford truck engines available in 2026.

By Michael S. Palmer | 2026-04-22 13:32:20


VIEW MORE
story-9
The Best F-150 Deal of Every Trim Level (XL through Raptor)

Slideshow: The best Ford F-150 deal for every trim level (XL through Raptor)

By Joe Kucinski | 2026-04-21 15:59:01


VIEW MORE