The 6.1 is comming!!
So as demand continues to outstrip production and even (horror!) EXISTENCE and even our own reserves do not meet demands (as they do now) - whatcha gonna say then? I got money so I got mine and screw you?
Wind, solar and nuclear aint gonna move your F350 dually extra cab very far. Unless its a REAL strong wind and you left it in neutral.
Jason
Which of course ignores the larger picture: what happens when its gone? DiLithium crystams dont exist. and I notice you are not in the DiLitium Crystal Inventing buisness. Therefore the 'ignore it now, we will figure something out later' stance is exactly equal to: insert head in rectum. Breath deeply.
Can we make enough ethanol and bio to power *all* vehicles?
Read this: posted on the web in a number of places, including here. I took the time to run the numbers that the zipperheads aint:
Right now, the US consumes 146 BILLION (with a B) gallons of gas every year. This is not diesel, this is not jet fuel, this is not heating oil or any other fuel oil, but rather gas, that goes into cars and SUVs.
If we were to jump on the environmentalist bandwagon, and replace fossil fuel consumption with biofuels - for gas only - what would this entail?
At current technologies, we can extract 335 gallons of 'ethanol' from an acre of ground. Advances using different plants and techniques are being looked at that boost this closer to 800, but right now, we know how to do 335 gallons per acre.
Simple math says that to replace our gasoline ONLY, we need 436 Million (with an M) acres of tillable ground. Since we live in a country that is comprised of 2,380,000,000 (that’s almost 2.4 Billion) acres, this means we need to use 18% of the landmass of the US to grow these crops.
Not a problem right?
The USA currently has 20% of its landmass available for agriculture. The term is 'tillable land'. Simple math once again says we can grow crops for gas, but this leaves 2% of the landmass for farming. The net effect? We will grow 1/10th of the food. Well I suppose that’s one way to fight the obesity problem.
"What if we irrigate more land?!" you say…
Ok, lets look at this: of stored water, agriculture NOW, takes 85% of the water. Oooops.
I have only addressed gasoline.
'Transportation fuels', of which gasoline is yes a large part, only comprise of 55-60% of the oil we use.
It would seem to me, that the loss of oil might have a slight effect on US civilization. The heck with the rest of the world.
Clearly, conservation is not going to help (which is not the same as saying we should not conserve).
Only a massive technology shift coupled with a super massive decrease in population will ensure our survival.
Brazil is currently the second largest ethanol producer and, although it uses most of its ethanol to supply the large domestic market, is the world’s largest ethanol exporter. In 2006, Brazilian fuel ethanol consumption amounted to approximately 13 billion liters, equal to approximately 3.43 billion gallons and to approximately 14.69% of Brazil ’s total fuel consumption. Ethanol will account for 60 percent of Brazilian vehicle fuel in six years (28 billion liters/about 7.4 billion gallons), up from 43 percent currently. The production capacity has passed 17 billion liters annually (approx. 4.491 billion gallons) and is projected to reach 26 billion (about 6.87 billion gallons) by 2010.
All gasoline sold in Brazil is currently blended with about 24% ethanol, and almost 90% of all new cars in the Brazilian market are flex-fuel vehicles that can run on either this blended gasoline or pure ethanol. In the U.S. , for comparison, the proportions of the gasoline-ethanol blend are a bit different. Minnesota has plans to require a 20% mix by 2013 but for the rest of the country the goal is 10%.
a) the rest of the world learns to drive. In 10 years for sure, but in perhaps 5 years China and India will represent the worlds largest economies ranked #1, #2. The rest of the world is lobbying to move oil trading from the dollar to chinese currency, as it is the largest amount of currency in global markets.
b) the earths tank runs dry. read: supply and demand laws
In a nutshell, Americans and for the most part ONLY Americans have used large vehicles as a substitution for Enzyte. Enzyte woulda been cheaper.
by consuming as if it were a god given right, you and ONLY you (its a royal you, put down the weapon) have created this problem. The problem was going to occur nevertheless. However it is occuring while technology for the most part is still in its infancy. A person can be an enthusiast, without using the enthused about item in a manner with no thought to the future. I quit using my FORD truck as a daily driver a decade ago. Too little. Too late. I have, until recently, been restoring FORD and chevy trucks in my shop, very enthusiastically. However this is not different than the guy who owns, but does not commute in the 10mpg Bugatti Veryon
In a sense, I was fortunate my F250 developed a tranny problem, as it forced me to buy something else--the Mazda in my sig, which gets twice the mileage. I have to plan ahead a bit more when it comes to hauling tools and such to the jobsite, but it has sufficed. And, yes, like any other American guy, the low gas prices are tempting me to go pull that tranny and replace the front pump and torque converter so I can drive it again. The reality is, though, when gas was $4+/gallon, I was saving nearly $200/month driving the Mazda. Had the price stayed there, I would have recouped the cost of the Mazda by the end of the year.
But, Quaddriver is right. Our economy is closely tied to inexpensive energy sources, and we use a lot of energy as a whole. Some segments of our energy usage are not easily replaced by others. Could we replace coal? You bet--wind and solar would help, but nuclear could do it in pretty short order. But oil products and natural gas? Not anytime soon--too many dino burners on the road driven by people who wouldn't stand a shot at being able to afford some sort of vehicle with an alternative energy source.
The ironic part is that hybrids make more sense in larger vehicles that are already heavy, so battery packs don't affect them as much. The small hybrids are a joke, IMO, as a small diesel gets much better mileage, especially on the highway.
Ethanol in the U.S. was a dumb direction to go, and I said so from the start. It's fine as an oxygenate additive, but unworkable as a sole fuel.
Jason
Ford Trucks for Ford Truck Enthusiasts
Yeah, I agree with you Wendell - crappy way for this thread to diverge.
Jason
Besides, I have more V-8s than you do.
Mike
* = Zontar, thing from Venus



