Not very good odds
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Post Fiend
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From: San Francisco, Ca.
Not very good odds
1 in 100 that the shuttle crew could die in flight. 
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20060627/...c/shuttle_risk
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20060627/...c/shuttle_risk
Gone but not forgotten.
Joined: Jul 2001
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Odds can be manipulated. Once years ago there was some concern about people bombing airplanes. Since I traveled on planes a lot, I asked my computer manager how I could increase the odds in my favor. After running all the available data through the computer, he came up with a solution. The odds of me getting on a plane with a bomb was about 1200 to 1 and that was worrisome. He then told me that if I would carry my own bomb aboard (a dud, of course), the odds of there being two bombs on board were 14,000,000 to 1 and assured my safety.
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From: The Great Plains
I'd take those odds, the odds that I will be killed running down to the store downtown are MUCH higher than that.
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Post Fiend
Joined: Mar 2004
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From: San Francisco, Ca.
There have been 2 catastropic events out of 114 shuttle flights as of 8-25-05.
Not very good odds.
Imagine if those odds were to happen on commercial flights?
Not very good odds.
Imagine if those odds were to happen on commercial flights?
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From: Sunny tourist infested FL
I have a front row seat for the launches....
I can see the cape from my house....
If the thing detonates on the pad or shortly after lift off, many people in this area are gonna be running for their life to get away from the chemical cloud.
The forecast for the cape on saturday is not good. I think you'll see the launch scrubbed.
Here's a good site for tracking what's happening with the shuttle. www.space.com
I can see the cape from my house....
If the thing detonates on the pad or shortly after lift off, many people in this area are gonna be running for their life to get away from the chemical cloud.
The forecast for the cape on saturday is not good. I think you'll see the launch scrubbed.
Here's a good site for tracking what's happening with the shuttle. www.space.com
Last edited by wildcard30; Jun 28, 2006 at 08:04 PM.
Post Fiend
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From: Atlanta GA
Thanks Ben for the stats!
I did not know they even made it to the 100 mark for launches. So the odds are roughly 1 to 50 at best because (using stats) if this one blows up (no guarantee) it would be 3/115 which is 1/38.
You have to assume every time it launches it will blow up, so the odds only go down AFTER every successful mission ... if you were writing the life insurance policy. Luckily for us, the people that do these type of things do not do them because the odds are favorable.
I did not know they even made it to the 100 mark for launches. So the odds are roughly 1 to 50 at best because (using stats) if this one blows up (no guarantee) it would be 3/115 which is 1/38.
You have to assume every time it launches it will blow up, so the odds only go down AFTER every successful mission ... if you were writing the life insurance policy. Luckily for us, the people that do these type of things do not do them because the odds are favorable.
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Originally Posted by sierraben
There have been 2 catastropic events out of 114 shuttle flights as of 8-25-05.
Not very good odds.
Imagine if those odds were to happen on commercial flights?
Not very good odds.
Imagine if those odds were to happen on commercial flights?
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