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Another thing to consider is that in certain countries where counterfeiting is common, the government will recall old money and issue new different looking currency, and if you don't exchange all of it the old currency is worthless. So if this deal has you actually holding the notes, I'd be even more wary.
I was in Yemen in '95 and when I went to a back alley currency exchanger (the Yemeni gov't had arrested the "legal" moneychangers for some reason) and he found out I had the new style US currency, he whipped out a strongbox FULL of $50's and $100's and begged me to swap him old for new. I told him not to worry, the US doesn't invalidate old currency but he didn't believe me.
Blew my mind seeing all that cash from what looked like a fleabitten old goatherd.
So I made him a deal, I used the "new" US currency to both swap for old and for Yemeni Dinar, both at a VERY favorable exchange rate, heh, heh.
Last edited by e1p1; Feb 13, 2006 at 11:03 PM.
Reason: text edit
All good points made. I have known this guy at work for a long, long time. He is a fine, honorable man and wants to see everyone doing well. He is very private, on the other hand. He has also taken some big losses in some of the investments. That is why he says that he is so diversified. If you are diversified, then when you do take a loss, it will not hurt so much. (ie. mutual funds)
Maybe "the wool has been pulled over his eyes" on this Dinar thing. I don't know if he gets a cut or not. I will have to ask him.
It's not me- and I've made money on currency exchange, but I do it indirectly. Euro bonds were a screaming deal when the dollar hit a 20 year high a few years ago. The Canuk dollar was a screaming deal five years ago, at .62 on the US dollar (bet it goes above parity). but there's other ways to play it that pay dividends (stocks, bonds) without assuming hige risk. When investing in anything, I look at the potential downside first.
In this case, I really think we are dealing with either an economy under vast change, or in either case one that has a highly ingrained degree of duplicity.
It cannot be trusted.
I still have a one Peso piece, the aluminum content of which is worth far more than the face value of the coin itself.
The intrinsic value of it is far greater, and come to think of it I have a couple of various denomination centavo coins.
They will never be seen again.
If Dinar can be had in small amounts as historic souvenirs, it is one thing. But I would by no means buy into it heavily.
Last edited by Greywolf; Feb 15, 2006 at 06:51 PM.
The dinar may very well incease in value as the Iraqi govt improves and becomes more stable but there are far better investments with lower risk, higher returns and faster payback periods out there. Hell I'd rather put money in a T-Bill than a dinar.
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