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With new trucks selling at wholesale prices, the dealer can't inflate the value of your trade and he has to make money on every vehicle he sells to stay in business so he has to give you wholesale for your trade. Now days you actually see what you get for your trade. In the past you probably didn't get much more, it just felt better.
Think about selling your used truck privately. I always did this until we got hung with the GST on top of our provincial tax. Now we pay a whopping 14 % tax on a new vehicle but we only pay it on the difference so now I always trade in and I focus on the difference I pay. Good luck getting the best deal you can. I have stll done the best when I deal at the end of the day and make those Sales Types work OT.
Nobody likes to work late for no extra pay so if you make them hang around, the very least you do is get their best price sooner than it might take earlier in the day.
Wrench is right. Todays truck market seems to be pretty dynamic right now. KBB, NADA, etc are not able to and never did keep up with wholesale values. Especially regionally. For now, fuel / gas prices seem to be driving the big truck resell market.
In most cases the new truck dealer is calling wholesalers on the spot to get a value for you vehicle. Typically sold to a wholesaler before you ink the paper on your new one.
The Black Book values may be the closest you will get to wholesale. Still a guess though.
If you go up to the new car buyer forum and ask around, I read up there that the KBB and Edmunds and running $1000 to high. If you are trading in the truck in your sig., you are going to take a hit.
Keep in mind as well that there is no phone number to call at Edmunds or KKB to buy your truck at the price they say it is worth. The truck market has crashed recently on the retail end unless it is diesel because of gas prices. Selling outright is the best way to get more $$$ but can be a hassle. Most dealers are looking at rough book for trade in for full size trucks and SUV's. Sucks, but that is how it is right now. I would hang tight till it closer to winter ( if it snows where you are) 4x4 values should go back up then.