Help for an R-12 system
http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/1995/molina.html
I think they knew what they were talking about.
http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/papers/j.../transpts.html
In fact, the most severe change in climate that we can actually prove humans were the cause of was the elimination of wolves in most of North America. This reulted in an increase in deer and elk poulations, which caused a decrease in the growth on new forests due the the excessive consumption of the young trees. The older trees begin to die, resulting in deforestation and death of older forests, and unhealthy forests. This in turn results in increased ground temperatures in some areas, which can have an affect on local weather. This phnomenon is very well ducumented in Yellowstone, where these trends could be dated trough tree rings to the point in time the the wolves were eliminated. The trend rapidly began reverseing when the wolves were reintroduced. When one can eliminte outside factors, and actually see what happens when the single variable is removed and reintroduced, that is science. Now, to claim that CO2 and other greenhouse gases are causeing global warming, which is not proven to even exist, one would have to date to when excessive amounts of CO2 began entering the atmosphere, and then see where it actually came from, the eliminate that source, and see what happens.
The global atmospheric system is very complicated. Those of us who study it know not to discount anything; what may seem insignificant can have profound effects.
Last edited by xlt4wd90; Jun 2, 2006 at 03:22 AM.
But here is my opinion: I'm amazed that so many seemingly reasonable people would choose to ignore facts just because they seem inconvenient.
A few years ago, on a similar forum, I heard someone complain about how the EPA wanted to increase the CAFE requirement, and close down loopholes that allowed manufacturers to not include SUVs. The implications were that cars and trucks would be more expensive, and lose power. I tried to express (poorly) that it's not a bad idea to have such a requirement, since that would tend to force the manufacturers to build more efficient engines. At that time, gasoline was around $1 a gallon. so no one really cared about fuel efficiency. Now, I try not to express my opinions about this.
Now, here are some facts about global warming in reality.
As real global temperatures rise, this includes the air over the oceans. This results in an increase in evaporation, which in turn results the an increase in cloud production. While an increase in power and frequency of storms may occur, the overall global temperature remains stabilized, and the overall amount of rainfall on land increases. This results in an increase in the quality of life for both man and wildlife. This can easily be observed by looking at our last warm age, dureing mideval times, from about 800 AD - 1300 AD, where that average global temperature was 5 degrees warmer than it is today, and many parts of Greenaland were actually green. As this time period subsided, the crops began to fail, due to farmers planting to early, and haveing shorter growining seasons. The was mass starvation, and overall malnutrition. This is very well documents, and can be observed by looking at the rings of trees that grew in that time period (rapid growth of trees caused by both increased rainfall, longer growing seasons, and warmer climate. This is also the time period the Anasazi people thrived. The Vikings were thriveing, and culture in hotter climates were about the same average temperatures they are today (can be measured by analyzing icepack on mountains in tropical climates)
Now, here is a nother interesting thing about gases that get warmed. They rise, and as they rise, hey loose pressure, and begin to release their heat. Now where do you suppose it goes? Some of it may find its way back down to the surface, but overall, it gets dissipated at higher elevations, where it escapes into space. Water behaves this way, and other gases do as well. All greenhouse gases serve dual purposes, as global moderators, both to retain heat, and to release it, just like an air conditioning system.
Now back to R-12 and its potential to damage Ozone, how come when raw chlorine gas in its ataomic form is mixed with O3 and exposed to intense UVC radiation, not decay is observed. Also, R-12 is heavier than air, in fact heavier than CO2. There is no measurable CO2 at the altitude the O3 is found at, so how does R-12 get there? O2 is also effective at blocking UVC by the way, perhaps not as effective as O3, but still normal atmoshperic oxygen can block a decent percentage of UVC. The Ozone hole is most prominent at the southern pole, and nearly nonexsitent at the northern pole, which is strange since most of the moderne industrial world is in the northen hemisphere. One would thing that if freon was to blame, that the Ozone hole would be a real issue in the northen hemisphere. The Ozone layer was discovered in the early days of rocketry, prior to the commercial release of freon, the hole was in fact discovered dureing the 1950's. Now, what do references really mean anyway, if I told you my neighbor told me all this stuff, you would ignore me. If I told you that Dr. Philbert Seimen at the University of Texas was my source, then I would have some credibility. This would be the case if if the previously mentioned doctor was a medical doctor and had no experience in the field of biology or environmental science.
The scientific method
# 1. Observe some aspect of the universe.
# 2. Invent a tentative description, called a hypothesis, that is consistent with what you have observed.
# 3. Use the hypothesis to make predictions.
# 4. Test those predictions by experiments or further observations and modify the hypothesis in the light of your results.
# 5. Repeat steps 3 and 4 until there are no discrepancies between theory and experiment and/or observation.
If you apply this situation, you will find there are a lot of discrepancies.
We can see this in other cases
Lets use DDT as our case here
allegations of DDT were that it would cause thinning of the shells of birds, and was possibly responsible for decreaseing predatory bird populations. This was reffered to in a book, with no previous scientific studies to prove this was the case. Many studies were done on predatory bird, feeding them food that was deliberately contaminated with DDT, and across 5 generations of these birds, no egg thinning was observed. This effectively rules out DDT as a possible culprit. However, dureing the same time period that this was occuring, the fluoridation of drinking water was also at its peak in the areas that these birds reside (Washington, Oregon, California namely), positive links were found relateing fluoride between both decreases in the populations of the fish that these birds would eat, as well as calcium absorption problems in birds that consumed fish contaminated with fluoride. This was independently tested by the EPA to determine its effects on birds and they found that egg thinning could be observed in wild birds that consumed fish from contaminated water. These same birds were also found to have weaker bones than wild birds from non contaminated regions. Most of this fluoride was determined to come from manufactureing processes however. The plants were shut down years ago, due to failing to meet EPA requirements. This occured around the same time that DDT was banned. You do the math. This is kind of obvious to the casual observer, once the actual events are brought forth.
If you want to look into this more closeing, feel free.
If you want to see how sensitive fluoride is to birds, read these
http://www.laleva.org/eng/2004/02/fl..._to_birds.html
http://www.greenfacts.org/fluoride/index.htm
http://www.fluoridealert.org/pestici....abstracts.htm
Now back to global warming
Walk outside on a parking lot, and measure the temerature in the shade
drive to a rural area nearby, away from pavement, and measure again
notice something?
Take consistent measurements over a period of time, in rural areas away from cities
one will find the average temperature in most cases are actually lower thant hey were in 1910.
There is a phenomeno called urban warming, which occures where there is a lot of pavement, and asphalt roofs, and not as much vegetation. This causes a noticable local warming. This gets worse as the city grows, but has little effect on the overall climate of the region. Does the heat in LA make the rest of California hotter?
http://www.grida.no/climate/vital/17.htm
# 1. Observe some aspect of the universe.
# 2. Invent a tentative description, called a hypothesis, that is consistent with what you have observed.
# 3. Use the hypothesis to make predictions.
# 4. Test those predictions by experiments or further observations and modify the hypothesis in the light of your results.
# 5. Repeat steps 3 and 4 until there are no discrepancies between theory and experiment and/or observation.
If you apply this situation, you will find there are a lot of discrepancies.
# 6. Review and critical analysis of your work by your peers and other experts in this field, making sure your work was sound, and digging at, and resolving the discrepencies. Otherwise, you don't get a Nobel prize for your work.
Last edited by xlt4wd90; Jun 3, 2006 at 02:23 AM.
If it wasnt for all the Grant Money they get there would be no one to study it.
I think it's funny that if they already know it's there why they have to keep studying it every Mintue, hour, day, month, & year.
Take away the grant money and you'd never hear of the Ozone Hole again.
JaY
Ford Trucks for Ford Truck Enthusiasts
Now lets be honest, you have absolutely no information whatsover that freon caused the ozone hole, or in other words, you have not eliminated the possibilty that is was coincidence. You have not elimated a host of other possible pollutants from the study, you have not eliminated the possibility that it is a naturally occuring phenomenon.
When studies have been conducted to determine possible effects on the environment, you have mixed reviews about whether wildlife has suffered from UV rays. You have mixed reviews as to whether or not UV levels reaching the ground have increased. You don't even have a base value to compare your readings to. If your conclusions cannot be unanimous, then your test studies are flawed and new studies must be conducted with stricter control variances, until the evidence is so conclusive that the scientific world can truely agree. And by the way, cancer rates in the US dureing the 1970's and 80's are not found to be significantly higher than today. In fact, the opposite trend has been observed. And less protection from the sun was used in those time periods, while today, everyone I know basically refuses to spend any significant time in the sun without wearing sunscreen. Durring the seventies, measurements of the amount of ultraviolets light in the UVB and UVC spectrums was monitored by ordinary people, and in temperate climates, no meaningfull measurements were recorded. One can do this test today, and you can see your readings do not coincide with the measurements of variations in the ozone layer. Measurements of gases from the Ozone layer revealed no chlorine containing compounds, however nitrogen containing compounds, in frozen form were found in abundance in the weeks prior to the annual enlargement of the hole (which is a thinning by the way, not a hole) These crystals are believed to be formed by extreme cold in the upper atmosphere, and form during the Antarctic winter. Perhaps they have something to do with this. And by the way, the majority of our atmosphere is made of nitrogen, so I seriously doubt these compounds came from a manmade source, though if you are really interested in scientific reasearch, you may want to study this phenomenon.
Last edited by khantyranitar; Jun 3, 2006 at 10:20 AM.






