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It could just be a bad temp sensor giving a false reading to the gauge. The upper hose being hard isn't necessarily a death nell for the headgasket. It will be firm because the system operates under 12-15 lbs of pressure.
Is there coolant in the oil or oil in the coolant? Those would be indicators of a headgasket problem.
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 1999 Expedition XLT, big and green, 5.4, 4x4, 285/70-17 Dunlop MT's, factory skid plates, magnaflow muffler.
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