Before Katrina, I had a old guy tell me dont worry, it cant be as bad as Camille. He said he stayed at his house during Camille. I bet you will be busy. Keep my number handy, if you need me for anything let me know.

 

Issac is big. Good thing is that the atmospherics have kept it disorganized so far but that'll change when it gits out in the middle of the Gulf. Only other good thing so far, is that most models show it as being a 2 when it gets up to the coast, but on the low side of 100-/high side 90s.

Damn. 11:00 NOAA update has moved the track square on the coast & straight up the center of the state.

I'm thinkin' of yah an prayin' for yall

 

I think the NHC gets a bit nervous when ever the track aims for the northern Gulf coast:

THE TRACK FORECAST BEYOND DAY 2 HAS BECOME PROBLEMATIC. DYNAMICAL
MODELS DEPICT THE CYCLONE MOVING INTO A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE NORTH OF THE GULF COAST IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. HOWEVER THERE IS
A LARGE SPREAD AMONG THE MORE RELIABLE TRACK MODELS. FOR EXAMPLE...
THE ECMWF FORECAST IS ABOUT 300 N MI EAST OF THE GFS SOLUTION AT DAY
3. SINCE THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS HAS SHIFTED WESTWARD...THE
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS MOVED A BIT TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS
ONE. THIS REQUIRES AN EXTENSION OF THE HURRICANE WATCH WESTWARD
ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THERE IS
GREATER THAN USUAL UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK FORECAST.

THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...IT IS IMPORTANT NOT TO FOCUS ON THE EXACT
FORECAST TRACK SINCE SIGNIFICANT HAZARDS EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE
CENTER.

 

I wonder if the line of storms running Northeast from Texas to the Great Lakes will suck Issac along behind them.
That will move the path back to the East toward Pensacola.

<table style="width:auto;"><tr><td><a href="https://picasaweb.google.com/lh/photo/PmNJDJWZAJ3QlItkKmb6HYdfSvtQrU18jh0lq6oYqZE?feat=e mbedwebsite"><img src="https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/-jQR-Wx6YcKA/UDpM3FOq5EI/AAAAAAAAAZw/o4d_zlKBwoQ/s800/26%2520August.jpg" height="452" width="800" /></a></td></tr><tr><td style="font-family:arial,sans-serif; font-size:11px; text-align:right">From <a href="https://picasaweb.google.com/117171650564817422104/DropBox?authuser=0&authkey=Gv1sRgCKKH-7vMpYfT-AE&feat=embedwebsite">Drop Box</a></td></tr></table>

 

Someone will sure get some misery from Isaac.

I have a Grandson that should leave his offshore platform tomorrow.

 

Isaac is going to present some problems for me too. I've been hired along with a few other guys to help dispense water & MRE's after the hurricane. Right now we're in a holding pattern to see where it is going, but with each new forecast it comes a little bit closer to home. I'm hoping that it is all blown out of proportion and that nothing really gets damaged, but I know that my luck isn't worth the paper its printed on.

Either way guys, stay safe! I'm going to have to ride this one out wherever they send us.

 

I am on the local Emergency Assistance Committee, and we will have our first meeting tonight. Our purpose if to assist any evacuees that arrive in Brookhaven needing food or shelter.

 

As far inland as we are, we should not have much widespread restoration activity. Katrina was different, because it was a much larger and stronger storm. Hopefully this one will move swiftly and not pick up much more energy from the warm Gulf water.

Since we are on Interstate 55 which is a direct route North from New Orleans and Southern Louisiana, where evacuation has already begun, we will start seeing folks tomorrow. Both lanes of I55 will be one way Northbound.

I will be in charge of security at our Red Cross approved shelter and the main thing is to state the rules to the evacuees as they check in. Katrina and Gustav taught us to have the ground rules establish and to keep the upper hand with those that attempt to be disruptive. Also, we will always have a law enforcement official present. 99% of the evacuees are very appreciative and co-operative. You just have to keep a watchful eye out for that 1%.

Our mission is to house, sleep, and feed folks until they can return home.

 

Knot >> i never thought much about the Red Cross untill Katrina. I had to rebuild Hwy 90 from Ocean Springs to the Shark Head. They feed me and my men everyday. They even kept up with my shots I had to take. I give to them every year now. Thanks for what yall do.

 

10pm NHC update has the track further west. Still looking at 5-9ft surge depending on tide.

 

Latest advisory on Isaac:

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Track Forecast Cone
Tropical Storm ISAAC Advisory #025
5:00 AM EDT Mon August 27, 2012


The good news is it is currently on track to make landfall to the west of the Mississippi cost in Louisiana.

More good news is that it is expected to be a category 1 storm at landfall.

Great site for the weather at; Tropical Storm ISAAC

 

Bryan I just go in on the main NHC page since I like to read the discussions & such, plus you get links to any other systems.

National Hurricane Center

When Terri & I got married in 04 we got real familiar with all the hurricane sites. (Frances ran us off Pompano beach where we supposed to get hitched)

That South Florida Water Management District with all the model plots link I posted up above is one of my favorites. Weather Underground used to be pretty good till they sold out to the Weather Channel, but still have some good info. This guy's site is pretty good for the nerd inclined:

HurricaneCity.com tracking tropical storm Isaac in the Atlantic, is your city next?

 

Off topic

I know a lady.... has an 04 Expedition. Was having trouble with it dying/shutting off going down the road. Happened while the cruise was set.... happened at red lights.... I was thinking crank sensor or iac. She went to a quick lube place that "does all her work". They tightened a loose battery cable and called it fixed. She hasn't said yet to me if the problem is really gone, but I say WTH?? Since when will a loose battery cable shut a vehicle off, yet still be tight enough to allow it to start immediately back up? Please, if anyone can answer this, explain it to me.....

 

Still no marching orders for when and where we're going for disaster relief. Guess I'm going to hang out at home and just hold the line until I know what I'm doing exactly.

Looks like this one isn't gonna be as bad as expected, hopefully. Last thing we need is another Katrina with all the damage that storm did.

 

Bad grounds... I guess. But I would be with you on the crank sensor or whatever passes for ignition control, then I'd go for the IAC too. Did the geniuses think to run the codes?